Token Research

cbBTC

cbBTC · ETHEREUM

0xcbb7c0000ab88b473b1f5afd9ef808440eed33bf

70/100

Structure health · explainable below

The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Price (USD)

$79,458

Market cap

$7,852,483,677

24h volume

$257,803,296

24h change

1.34%

AI Conviction - cbBTC

V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score
64/100
BullishMedium confidenceData coverage: 5/11 components (57% of weight)

Top reasons

  • Across 12 whale events (2 wallets), observed buy pressure was $855.7M vs $8.9M sell - net accumulation.
  • Price moved -2.3% over 7 days and 24.7% over 30 days, sitting at 85% of its 30-day range.
  • 24h volume was $257,803,296 against a $7,852,483,677 market cap (3.28% turnover).

Top risks

  • Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 156 in the last 7 days vs 693 the week before.
  • Data coverage gaps (6 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
  • Available signals disagreed strongly with each other - a split read, not a consensus.

What changed: Since 2026-09-09 09:26 UTC: score fell 79 → 64.

Historical context: Across 10 snapshots since 2026-07-27, the score ranged 32-79 (average 52); the current 64 is above that average.

Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-09-15 20:48 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-09-15 19:55 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-09-14 23:00 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-09-14 07:57 UTC

Components & methodology
ComponentWeightObserved
Whale activity35.7%Across 12 whale events (2 wallets), observed buy pressure was $855.7M vs $8.9M sell - net accumulation.
- Smart money flows-Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3).
On-chain activity17.9%Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 156 in the last 7 days vs 693 the week before.
- Token fundamentals-Holder distribution data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity12.5%24h volume was $257,803,296 against a $7,852,483,677 market cap (3.28% turnover).
Technical indicators26.8%Price moved -2.3% over 7 days and 24.7% over 30 days, sitting at 85% of its 30-day range.
- News sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2).
- Social sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3).
Macro conditions7.1%Global (not token-specific): 20 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.18 on the lexicon.
- Institutional activity-Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).
- Insider activity-Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage).
- ETF flows-ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).

Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (57% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Smart Money Intelligence

Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.

89/100

accumulation

50 baseline + 39 flow imbalance (net accumulation 98% of $864.6M) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.

Accumulation side · $855.7M

  • smart-money accumulation $0K
  • whale accumulation $855.7M
  • exchange outflows $0K
  • buy swaps $0K

Distribution side · $8.9M

  • whale distribution $8.9M
  • exchange inflows $0K
  • sell swaps $0K

Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)

Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.

Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts

Accumulation continues · 59%

  • market regime currently risk-on

Consolidation · 36%

  • balanced observed flows
  • no dominant pressure side

Distribution pressure · 5%

  • whale distribution observed ($8.9M/30d)
Professional lenses (5) — rule-based analysis from the data above
  • Institutional Fund confidence low

    What would a hedge fund analyst likely examine here?

    A fund analyst would typically note the net accumulation and examine whether the flow is broad (many wallets) or concentrated (one actor), before treating it as a positioning signal.

    Data: observed 30d flows: $855.7M accumulation-side vs $8.9M distribution-side · 0 scored wallets active in 7d

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Whale Investor confidence low

    What would a large holder likely watch?

    A large holder would typically watch the exchange inflows as a sign that peers are staging liquidity venue-side.

    Data: exchange outflows $0K vs inflows $0K (30d)

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Swing Trader confidence low

    What would a technical trader likely track?

    A swing trader would typically track whether the current accumulation side persists across sessions, using the flow imbalance as context rather than a signal by itself.

    Data: observed 30d flows: $855.7M accumulation-side vs $8.9M distribution-side

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Risk Manager confidence low

    How would a professional frame the risk?

    A risk manager would typically size any exposure against the observed concentration: flows driven by few wallets reverse faster than broad-based moves, and venue-side supply adds liquidity risk.

    Data: 0 scored wallets in the 7d sample · venue-side supply $0K (30d inflows)

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Long-Term Investor confidence low

    What would a long-horizon allocator likely note?

    A long-horizon allocator would typically note that observed professional positioning leans toward accumulation, while weighing it against fundamentals this dashboard does not measure.

    Data: Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

Educational description of observed on-chain positioning (12 events · 2 wallets). Not financial advice, not a prediction, and never a buy or sell recommendation.

Ask BFYP about this

Open AI Research with cbBTC already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.

Holder analytics

Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.

Risk analysis — what created these scores

Holder distributionn/a
  • · Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity70/100
  • · 24h volume was $257,803,296 against a $7,852,483,677 market cap (3.28% turnover).

Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.

AI research report

No report has been generated for this token.

Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.

Whale activity (10 recent · 1013 observed transfers)

Observation

Recent whale events on cbBTC are split between accumulation and distribution.

Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.

  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet sent $704K in cbBTC. 0xbbbb…ffcb
  • DISTRIBUTION Net outflow of $2.9M in cbBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x5aae…5588
  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet sent $520K in cbBTC. 0x5aae…5588
  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet sent $2.4M in cbBTC. 0x5aae…5588
  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet sent $2.6M in cbBTC. 0x5aae…5588
  • DISTRIBUTION Net outflow of $6.0M in cbBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x5aae…5588
  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet sent $3.4M in cbBTC. 0x5aae…5588
  • ACCUMULATION Net inflow of $843.0M in cbBTC over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xbbbb…ffcb
  • LARGE TRANSFER Wallet received $841.6M in cbBTC. 0xbbbb…ffcb
  • ACCUMULATION Net inflow of $2.7M in cbBTC over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xbbbb…ffcb