USDD
USDD · ETHEREUM
0x4f8e5de400de08b164e7421b3ee387f461becd1a
15/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Market figures below were last observed 27d 23h ago — treat them as dated.
Price (USD)
$0.999405
Market cap (USD)
$1,511,773,733
24h volume (USD)
$2,477,211
24h change
-0.01%
Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.
AI Conviction - USDD
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Across 20 whale events (6 wallets), observed buy pressure was $204.3M vs $0K sell - net accumulation.
- Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 53 in the last 7 days vs 4 the week before.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - 24h volume was $2,477,211 against a $1,511,773,733 market cap (0.16% turnover).
- Counter-signal - Top 10 non-exchange holders held 98.6% of supply (−80 points).
- Thin liquidity - 24h volume was $2,477,211 against a $1,511,773,733 market cap (0.16% turnover).
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
- Available signals disagreed strongly with each other - a split read, not a consensus.
What changed: No material change since 2026-10-30 09:09 UTC (score 64 → 65).
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-09-05, the score ranged 32-70 (average 54); the current 65 is above that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-30 21:31 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-10-29 08:00 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-29 04:09 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 20 whale events (6 wallets), observed buy pressure was $204.3M vs $0K sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 53 in the last 7 days vs 4 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 98.6% of supply (−80 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $2,477,211 against a $1,511,773,733 market cap (0.16% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -0.1% over 7 days and -0.0% over 30 days, sitting at 47% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 6.5% | Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money positioning — withheld
Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with USDD already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
98.6%
Exchange custody
0.0%
Tracked smart wallets
Withheld — coverage not verified
- 0x1870…a12e84.17%
- 0xdaa4…e4716.76%
- 0x2906…715a2.26%
- 0x3c27…d3961.33%
- 0x3330…d21c1.09%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 98.6% of supply (−80 points).
- · 24h volume was $2,477,211 against a $1,511,773,733 market cap (0.16% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
✓ Source data · 3 months ago · date of the newest whale event of its subject when the report was written, Jul 25, 2026, 06:38 PM — not necessarily the most recent of its sources
✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:46 PM · model claude-sonnet-5
✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read
Summary
The deterministic engine scored USDD at 56/100, direction BULLISH, confidence HIGH. This score sits above the 47-51 range recorded across six snapshots since 2026-07-24, and the direction flipped from Neutral to Bullish since the prior read at 2026-07-27 07:18 UTC. The dossier showed a token trading at $0.998935, essentially flat over 7 and 30 days, with observed whale buy pressure ($27.3M) exceeding sell pressure ($15.5M) across 44 events, set against a holder base where the top 10 non-exchange addresses controlled 98.0% of supply. Price stability, rising transaction counts, and elevated turnover were the layers driving the read; holder concentration remained the dominant counter-signal.
Data and provenance
Six of eleven conviction components carried data (63.0% of applicable weight): whale activity, on-chain activity, token fundamentals, liquidity, technical indicators, and macro conditions. Five were empty and contributed nothing: smartmoneyflows (0 scored wallets vs. a minimum 3), newssentiment (0 items vs. minimum 2), socialsentiment (0 items vs. minimum 3), institutionalactivity (not tracked for crypto in V1), and etfflows (not tracked for crypto in V1). Holder structure data showed top-10 non-exchange concentration at 98.0%, exchange custody at 0.0%, and tracked smart wallets at 0.0%. No token unlocks were found in tracked emissions data (not proof none exist). No disclosed institutional exposure appeared in tracked 13F/N-PORT filings. Scored news returned nothing for this asset in the tracked feed. Price momentum data covered 365 daily closes through 2026-07-27.
On-chain analysis
Two components carried the bulk of the signal: whale activity (32.3% weight, +0.1 contribution, quality 1.00) built on $27.3M in observed buys against $15.5M in sells across 44 events and 5 wallets, and technical indicators (24.2% weight, quality 0.86) reflecting -0.0% over 7 days and 0.0% over 30 days, with price sitting at 50% of its 30-day range. The component most limiting confidence was token fundamentals (9.7% weight, -0.1 contribution): top-10 non-exchange holders at 98.0% of supply.
Flow detail: wallet 0x7b8591d3ea97d6035672ab2d5bdb0b6ce97b7c3a executed a round-trip on 2026-07-25 18:38Z — received $1,498,553 in USDD, swapped 1.4M sUSDD into it, then sold $1,498,668 of USDD into USDT within the same minute-window, and had earlier sent $4,802,758 out on 2026-07-19 03:21Z. That sequence reads as transit/rotation rather than sustained accumulation. Separately, 0x08848b5c2e80488fa9d6df900d4603f2356a02e0 and 0x4b88215dceaf76da260c7ef3ba6d5b6663681396 exchanged $999,477 between each other on 2026-07-23 10:40-10:41Z, and 0x29065a4c1f2f20d1e263930088890d6f49fe715a received $947,504 on 2026-07-23 13:04Z with no offsetting outflow logged.
With 98.0% of supply held by ten non-exchange addresses and 0.0% in exchange custody, price-moving capacity concentrates in a small set of wallets outside exchange-tracked flows. 24h volume of $117,846,515 against a $1,549,929,979 market cap (7.60% turnover) was the liquidity reading cited by the engine.
Per the MEASURED DISAGREEMENTS block, the layers agreed: no conflict was flagged between flows, price momentum, and the fundamentals reading.
Risks
Holder concentration was the largest flagged risk: top-10 non-exchange holders at 98.0% of supply, which cost 80 points in the fundamentals factor. Exchange custody was measured at 0.0%, and tracked smart wallets at 0.0% — meaning neither layer offered an independent check on the concentrated holder base. Smart-money positioning was explicitly marked INSUFFICIENT (0 scored wallets in the consensus window), so the ACCUMULATION label from that layer cannot be read as consensus. News sentiment was empty (0 items). No unlock data was found, which is a gap, not a clean bill.
What would change this read
Observable measurements worth watching: whether top-10 non-exchange concentration moves materially from 98.0%; whether whale-wallet activity broadens beyond the 5 wallets currently driving the $27.3M/$15.5M buy-sell split; and whether news or social scored-item counts rise past their stated minimums (2 and 3 respectively) to activate those components.
Limitations and missing data
Five of eleven conviction components had no data: smartmoneyflows, newssentiment, socialsentiment, institutionalactivity, and etfflows. Institutional exposure and ETF flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1. Scored news for this asset was absent from the tracked feed. Unlock-schedule absence reflects tracked data only, not confirmed non-existence.
This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.
Whale activity (10 recent · 380 observed transfers)
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $998K in USDD. 0x7b85…7c3a Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $1.8M in USDD. 0x8fca…90b8 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.8M in USDD. 0x2906…715a Tracked address
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $1.8M in USDD over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x2906…715a Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $2.0M in USDD. 0x8fca…90b8 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $2.0M in USDD. 0x0884…02e0 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $2.0M in USDD. 0x4b88…1396 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $2.0M in USDD. 0x0884…02e0 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $2.0M in USDD. 0x4b88…1396 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $699K in USDD. 0x8fca…90b8 Tracked address