Token Research

AVA

AVA · ETHEREUM

0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9

78/100

Structure health · explainable below

The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Market figures below were last observed 36d 4h ago — treat them as dated.

Price (USD)

$0.24106

Market cap (USD)

$17,929,640

24h volume (USD)

$9,371,876

24h change

0.33%

CoinGecko USD retrieved by us ⁨Sep 29, 2026, 17:23⁩ UTC Stale

Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.

AI Conviction - AVA

V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score
46/100
BearishLow confidenceData coverage: 6/11 components (63% of weight)

Top reasons

  • Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 1 in the last 7 days vs 35 the week before.
  • Price moved -15.4% over 7 days and 8.8% over 30 days, sitting at 31% of its 30-day range.
  • Global (not token-specific): 6 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.50 on the lexicon.

Top risks

  • Counter-signal - 24h volume was $9,371,876 against a $17,929,640 market cap (52.27% turnover).
  • Counter-signal - Across 4 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $4.8M vs $3.3M sell - net accumulation.
  • Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
  • Available signals disagreed strongly with each other - a split read, not a consensus.

What changed: Since 2026-11-02 23:11 UTC: direction moved Bullish → Bearish; score fell 64 → 46.

Historical context: Across 23 snapshots since 2026-09-20, the score ranged 47-88 (average 63); the current 46 is below that average.

Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-11-04 22:22 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-11-04 10:47 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-11-02 17:10 UTC

Components & methodology
ComponentWeightObserved
Whale activity32.3%Across 4 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $4.8M vs $3.3M sell - net accumulation.
- Smart money flows-Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3).
On-chain activity16.1%Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 1 in the last 7 days vs 35 the week before.
Token fundamentals9.7%Top 10 non-exchange holders held 43.8% of supply (−44 points).
Liquidity11.3%24h volume was $9,371,876 against a $17,929,640 market cap (52.27% turnover).
Technical indicators24.2%Price moved -15.4% over 7 days and 8.8% over 30 days, sitting at 31% of its 30-day range.
- News sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2).
- Social sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3).
Macro conditions6.5%Global (not token-specific): 6 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.50 on the lexicon.
- Institutional activity-Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).
- Insider activity-Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage).
- ETF flows-ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).

Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Smart Money positioning — withheld

Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.

Ask BFYP about this

Open AI Research with AVA already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.

Holder analytics

Top 10 (non-exchange)

43.8%

Exchange custody

32.1%

Tracked smart wallets

Withheld — coverage not verified

  • 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE28.64%
  • 0xe255…4b9213.34%
  • 0x20bc…da169.09%
  • 0xd948…5a525.64%
  • 0xbd1f…e0725.00%

Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.

Risk analysis — what created these scores

Holder distribution56/100
  • · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
  • · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 43.8% of supply (−44 points).
  • · 32.1% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
Liquidity100/100
  • · 24h volume was $9,371,876 against a $17,929,640 market cap (52.27% turnover).

Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.

AI research report

No report has been generated for this token.

Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.

Whale activity (7 recent · 651 observed transfers)

Observation

Recent whale events on AVA lean toward accumulation — 4 accumulation-side vs 3 distribution-side.

Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.

  • DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $3.3M in AVA over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $3.3M in AVA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $970K in AVA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $502K in AVA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $2.1M in AVA over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $1.8M in AVA (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
  • EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $727K in AVA (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody