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Token Research

LIT

LIT · ETHEREUM

0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2

91/100

Structure health · explainable below

The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Price (USD)

$4.61

Market cap

$1,152,691,315

24h volume

$113,154,959

24h change

4.90%

AI Conviction - LIT

V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score
62/100
BullishLow confidenceData coverage: 4/11 components (37% of weight)

Top reasons

  • 24h volume was $113,154,959 against a $1,152,691,315 market cap (9.82% turnover).
  • Price moved -8.1% over 7 days and 91.6% over 30 days, sitting at 81% of its 30-day range.
  • Global (not token-specific): 17 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.16 on the lexicon.

Top risks

  • Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 480 in the last 7 days vs 536 the week before.
  • Data coverage gaps (7 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.

What changed: Since 2026-09-08 05:37 UTC: score fell 86 → 62.

Historical context: Across 16 snapshots since 2026-07-24, the score ranged 47-86 (average 60); the current 62 is in line with that average.

Source freshness - Macro conditions: 2026-09-15 16:53 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-09-15 05:00 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-09-15 05:00 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-09-08 05:37 UTC

Components & methodology
ComponentWeightObserved
- Whale activity-Whale events existed but carried no priced USD flow.
- Smart money flows-Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3).
On-chain activity27.8%Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 480 in the last 7 days vs 536 the week before.
- Token fundamentals-Holder distribution data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity19.4%24h volume was $113,154,959 against a $1,152,691,315 market cap (9.82% turnover).
Technical indicators41.7%Price moved -8.1% over 7 days and 91.6% over 30 days, sitting at 81% of its 30-day range.
- News sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2).
- Social sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3).
Macro conditions11.1%Global (not token-specific): 17 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.16 on the lexicon.
- Institutional activity-Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).
- Insider activity-Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage).
- ETF flows-ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).

Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (37% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Smart Money Intelligence

Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.

50/100

insufficient

No priced whale events in the 30-day window — score sits at the 50 neutral baseline.

Accumulation side · $0K

  • smart-money accumulation $0K
  • whale accumulation $0K
  • exchange outflows $0K
  • buy swaps $0K

Distribution side · $0K

  • whale distribution $0K
  • exchange inflows $0K
  • sell swaps $0K

Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)

Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.

Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts

Accumulation continues · 35%

  • market regime currently risk-on

Consolidation · 45%

  • balanced observed flows
  • no dominant pressure side

Distribution pressure · 20%

  • would require new distribution signals
Professional lenses (5) — rule-based analysis from the data above

  • Institutional Fund confidence low

    What would a hedge fund analyst likely examine here?

    A fund analyst would typically read balanced flows as absence of a positioning edge and wait for a dominant side.

    Data: observed 30d flows: $0K accumulation-side vs $0K distribution-side · 0 scored wallets active in 7d

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Whale Investor confidence low

    What would a large holder likely watch?

    A large holder would typically watch the exchange inflows as a sign that peers are staging liquidity venue-side.

    Data: exchange outflows $0K vs inflows $0K (30d)

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Swing Trader confidence low

    What would a technical trader likely track?

    A swing trader would typically see no flow edge here and rely on price structure alone.

    Data: observed 30d flows: $0K accumulation-side vs $0K distribution-side

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Risk Manager confidence low

    How would a professional frame the risk?

    A risk manager would typically size any exposure against the observed concentration: flows driven by few wallets reverse faster than broad-based moves, and venue-side supply adds liquidity risk.

    Data: 0 scored wallets in the 7d sample · venue-side supply $0K (30d inflows)

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

  • Long-Term Investor confidence low

    What would a long-horizon allocator likely note?

    A long-horizon allocator would typically treat current flows as noise at their horizon and focus on fundamentals this dashboard does not measure.

    Data: Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.

    On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.

Educational description of observed on-chain positioning (3 events · 1 wallets). Not financial advice, not a prediction, and never a buy or sell recommendation.

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Holder analytics

Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.

Risk analysis — what created these scores

Holder distributionn/a
  • · Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity91/100
  • · 24h volume was $113,154,959 against a $1,152,691,315 market cap (9.82% turnover).

Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.

AI research report

No report has been generated for this token.

Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.

Whale activity (3 recent · 1618 observed transfers)