wstETH
wstETH · ETHEREUM
0x7f39c581f595b53c5cb19bd0b3f8da6c935e2ca0
17/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Market figures below were last observed 31d 17h ago — treat them as dated.
Price (USD)
$3,316.54
Market cap (USD)
$12,432,560,810
24h volume (USD)
$6,016,209
24h change
0.48%
Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.
AI Conviction - wstETH
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Across 714 whale events (5 wallets), observed buy pressure was $8475.8M vs $43396.2M sell - net distribution.
- 24h volume was $6,016,209 against a $12,432,560,810 market cap (0.05% turnover).
- Price moved -6.1% over 7 days and -13.6% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 664 in the last 7 days vs 528 the week before.
- Thin liquidity - 24h volume was $6,016,209 against a $12,432,560,810 market cap (0.05% turnover).
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: No material change since 2026-10-30 09:19 UTC (score 31 → 31).
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-08-08, the score ranged 20-65 (average 38); the current 31 is below that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-30 21:32 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-30 05:59 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-10-29 10:00 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 714 whale events (5 wallets), observed buy pressure was $8475.8M vs $43396.2M sell - net distribution. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 664 in the last 7 days vs 528 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 65.5% of supply (−66 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $6,016,209 against a $12,432,560,810 market cap (0.05% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -6.1% over 7 days and -13.6% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 6.5% | Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money positioning — withheld
Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with wstETH already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
65.5%
Exchange custody
0.0%
Tracked smart wallets
Withheld — coverage not verified
- 0x12b5…66e930.68%
- 0x0b92…937120.52%
- 0xbbbb…ffcb5.60%
- 0xf20b…07041.71%
- 0xc3d6…cdc31.39%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 65.5% of supply (−66 points).
- · 24h volume was $6,016,209 against a $12,432,560,810 market cap (0.05% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
✓ Source data · 3 months ago · date of the newest whale event of its subject when the report was written, Jul 27, 2026, 04:43 PM — not necessarily the most recent of its sources
✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:45 PM · model claude-sonnet-5
✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read
Summary
The deterministic conviction engine scored wstETH at 56/100, direction BULLISH, confidence HIGH. These are three separate outputs from a rules-based system, not a judgment formed here. The dossier showed net whale accumulation ($417.4M buy-side vs $64.3M sell-side across 9 wallets), a price sitting at 99% of its 30-day range after a 22.7% 30-day move, thin 24h turnover ($6.28M against an $8.88B market cap), and top-10 non-exchange holder concentration of 66.9%. Coverage was partial: only 63.0% of applicable weight in the conviction score carried real data, and five components — smart-money flows, news sentiment, social sentiment, institutional activity, and ETF flows — contributed nothing.
Data and provenance
Layers with data: whale activity (745 events, 9 wallets), holder structure (top-10 non-exchange 66.9%, exchange custody 0.0%, tracked smart wallets 0.0%), liquidity ($6,282,074 24h volume vs $8,875,433,351 mcap), technical/price momentum (365 daily closes, 7d/30d/90d readings), macro conditions (16 items, -0.65 average lexicon score), and the smart-money positioning module (score 79/100, stance INSUFFICIENT). Layers with no data: scored news ("nothing in the tracked feed mentioned this asset recently"), disclosed institutional exposure ("none found in the tracked 13F/N-PORT filings" — not proof of absence), and upcoming unlocks ("none scheduled in the tracked emissions data" — also not proof none exist). No citable source links were supplied in this dossier.
On-chain analysis
The score was carried primarily by whale activity (32.3% weight, +0.2 contribution, quality 1.00) and technical indicators (24.2% weight, +0.1 contribution, quality 0.88). The component most limiting confidence in the underlying reading was token fundamentals (9.7% weight, -0.0 contribution, quality 0.70), reflecting the 66.9% top-10 non-exchange concentration.
Flow detail: wallet 0x0b925ed163218f6662a35e0f0371ac234f9e9371 showed a net outflow of $10.6M over 7 days (distribution pattern, 2026-07-27 16:43Z) but also received $15.0M (16:16Z) and $2.0M (15:25Z) in the same window — indicating transit through this address rather than one-directional movement. Wallet 0x12b54025c112aa61face2cdb7118740875a566e9 received $15.0M (16:16Z) then sent $2.5M (15:25Z) and $2.0M across two transfers (14:55Z). Wallet 0xb8a451107a9f87fde481d4d686247d6e43ed715e both sent and received $2.0M in similar four-part transfers at 14:55Z, consistent with routing rather than net accumulation or distribution by that address alone.
With exchange custody at 0.0% and tracked smart wallets at 0.0%, the holder split shown here does not indicate exchange-held supply or wallets tagged as smart-money movers — price-moving capacity concentrates in the untagged top-10 non-exchange cohort (66.9%). Volume against market cap (0.07% turnover) means a position of meaningful size would represent a large share of a single day's trading activity.
Per the measured disagreements block, no conflict was found: every layer with a reading pointed the same direction or sat within its flat band. The accumulation signal, the 7d/30d upward price move, and the 90d decline (-15.3%) were not flagged as contradictory in the source data.
Risks
- Top-10 non-exchange concentration of 66.9%, scored as a -67 point fundamentals factor.
- Turnover of 0.07% ($6,282,074 volume vs $8,875,433,351 mcap), flagged as thin liquidity.
- Macro lexicon average of -0.65 across 16 items in 72h, a counter-signal per the engine.
- Week-over-week transaction decline (655 vs 710), also flagged as a counter-signal.
- Unlock schedule and institutional exposure layers were empty — absence of scheduled unlocks or filings is stated as unconfirmed, not as a clean bill.
What would change this read
- Whether 24h turnover moves materially above the observed 0.07% of market cap.
- Whether the top-10 non-exchange holder share moves away from 66.9%.
- Whether smart-money or news/social components accumulate enough scored wallets or items (currently 0) to be carried in the score at all.
Limitations and missing data
Smart-money flows, news sentiment, social sentiment, institutional activity, and ETF flows carried zero weight in this snapshot. No unlock schedule or 13F/N-PORT institutional holding was found, though absence of tracking does not confirm absence of fact. No citable external sources were provided for this report.
This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.
Whale activity (10 recent · 14877 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on wstETH lean toward distribution — 2 distribution-side vs 1 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $58.9M in wstETH over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x0b92…9371 Tracked address
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $125.9M in wstETH over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $515K in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $3.0M in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.2M in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $584K in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.4M in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.7M in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $955K in wstETH. 0x12b5…66e9 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $11.9M in wstETH over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address