ARPA
ARPA · ETHEREUM
0xba50933c268f567bdc86e1ac131be072c6b0b71a
70/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$0.009698
Market cap
$16,902,892
24h volume
$4,175,079
24h change
-1.97%
AI Conviction - ARPA
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 4 in the last 7 days vs 1 the week before.
- 24h volume was $4,175,079 against a $16,902,892 market cap (24.70% turnover).
- Price moved -2.1% over 7 days and 11.8% over 30 days, sitting at 77% of its 30-day range.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - Top 10 non-exchange holders held 61.0% of supply (−61 points).
- Data coverage gaps (6 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: Since 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC: score rose 65 → 70; new data: On-chain activity.
Historical context: Across 13 snapshots since 2026-07-27, the score ranged 45-66 (average 57); the current 70 is above that average.
Source freshness - Macro conditions: 2026-09-15 16:53 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-09-15 10:00 UTC · Token fundamentals: 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| - Whale activity | - | No whale events were observed for this token in the analysis window. |
| - Smart money flows | - | No scored-wallet activity was observed for this token in the consensus window. |
| On-chain activity | 23.8% | Observed transactions rose week-over-week: 4 in the last 7 days vs 1 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 14.3% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 61.0% of supply (−61 points). |
| Liquidity | 16.7% | 24h volume was $4,175,079 against a $16,902,892 market cap (24.70% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 35.7% | Price moved -2.1% over 7 days and 11.8% over 30 days, sitting at 77% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 9.5% | Global (not token-specific): 17 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.16 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (43% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
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Open AI Research with ARPA already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
61.0%
Exchange custody
19.7%
Tracked smart wallets
0.0%
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE18.06%
- 0x5ec0…d3ab11.16%
- 0x5a52…efcb8.09%
- 0x1681…4f657.85%
- 0x76ec…fbd37.56%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 61.0% of supply (−61 points).
- · 19.7% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
- · 24h volume was $4,175,079 against a $16,902,892 market cap (24.70% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Whale activity (3 recent · 29 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on ARPA lean toward accumulation — 2 accumulation-side vs 1 distribution-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $602K in ARPA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $958K in ARPA (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $2.0M in ARPA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC