Token Research
ARPA
ARPA · ETHEREUM
0xba50933c268f567bdc86e1ac131be072c6b0b71a
72/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$0.008038
Market cap
$7,894,873
24h volume
$3,608,157
24h change
-0.57%
AI Conviction - ARPA
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score51/100
NeutralLow confidenceData coverage: 6/11 components (63% of weight)Top reasons
- Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 2 in the last 7 days vs 6 the week before.
- Across 3 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $2.6M vs $958K sell - net accumulation.
- 24h volume was $3,608,157 against a $7,894,873 market cap (45.70% turnover).
Top risks
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
- Available signals disagreed strongly with each other - a split read, not a consensus.
What changed: No material change since 2026-07-27 17:32 UTC (score 50 → 51).
Historical context: Not enough snapshot history yet - context builds as snapshots accumulate.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Token fundamentals: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-07-28 23:47 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 3 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $2.6M vs $958K sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 2 in the last 7 days vs 6 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 56.6% of supply (−57 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $3,608,157 against a $7,894,873 market cap (45.70% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -2.2% over 7 days and -0.4% over 30 days, sitting at 26% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| Social sentiment |
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money Intelligence
Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.
69/100
accumulation
50 baseline + 19 flow imbalance (net accumulation 47% of $3.6M) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.
Accumulation side · $2.6M
- smart-money accumulation $0K
- whale accumulation $0K
- exchange outflows $2.6M
- buy swaps $0K
Distribution side · $958K
- whale distribution $0K
- exchange inflows $958K
- sell swaps $0K
Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)
Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts
Accumulation continues · 47%
- net exchange outflows (supply leaving venues)
- market regime currently risk-on
Consolidation · 45%
- balanced observed flows
- no dominant pressure side
Distribution pressure ·
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
56.6%
Exchange custody
25.2%
Tracked smart wallets
0.0%
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE23.76%
- 0x5ec0…d3ab11.16%
- 0x76ec…fbd38.66%
- 0x1681…4f657.85%
- 0x231a…c7206.40%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
Holder distribution43/100
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 56.6% of supply (−57 points).
- · 25.2% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
Liquidity100/100
- · 24h volume was $3,608,157 against a $7,894,873 market cap (45.70% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Deep research
Four passes instead of one: it plans what this dossier can and cannot answer, drafts the report, attacks its own draft for unsupported claims and generic sentences, then rewrites. It ends by stating what it could not determine and which datum was missing.
Whale activity (3 recent · 16 observed transfers)
Observation
Recent whale events on ARPA lean toward accumulation — 2 accumulation-side vs 1 distribution-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $602K in ARPA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $958K in ARPA (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $2.0M in ARPA (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC