Token Research

WETH

WETH · ETHEREUM

0xc02aaa39b223fe8d0a0e5c4f27ead9083c756cc2

86/100

Structure health · explainable below

The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Market figures below were last observed 31d 23h ago — treat them as dated.

Price (USD)

$2,696.8

Market cap (USD)

$5,553,596,625

24h volume (USD)

$413,946,786

24h change

1.83%

CoinGecko USD retrieved by us ⁨Sep 29, 2026, 06:54⁩ UTC Stale

Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.

AI Conviction - WETH

V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score
58/100
BullishMedium confidenceData coverage: 5/11 components (57% of weight)

Top reasons

  • Across 2980 whale events (8 wallets), observed buy pressure was $132807.4M vs $23336.3M sell - net accumulation.
  • 24h volume was $413,946,786 against a $5,553,596,625 market cap (7.45% turnover).

Top risks

  • Counter-signal - Price moved -6.6% over 7 days and -16.8% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range.
  • Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 13490 in the last 7 days vs 15915 the week before.
  • Counter-signal - Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon.
  • Data coverage gaps (6 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.

What changed: No material change since 2026-10-30 23:49 UTC (score 56 → 58).

Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-07-29, the score ranged 39-80 (average 59); the current 58 is in line with that average.

Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-31 06:20 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-31 05:35 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC

Components & methodology
ComponentWeightObserved
Whale activity35.7%Across 2980 whale events (8 wallets), observed buy pressure was $132807.4M vs $23336.3M sell - net accumulation.
- Smart money flows-Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3).
On-chain activity17.9%Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 13490 in the last 7 days vs 15915 the week before.
- Token fundamentals-Holder distribution data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity12.5%24h volume was $413,946,786 against a $5,553,596,625 market cap (7.45% turnover).
Technical indicators26.8%Price moved -6.6% over 7 days and -16.8% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range.
- News sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2).
- Social sentiment-Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3).
Macro conditions7.1%Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon.
- Institutional activity-Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).
- Insider activity-Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage).
- ETF flows-ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase).

Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (57% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Smart Money positioning — withheld

Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.

Ask BFYP about this

Open AI Research with WETH already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.

Holder analytics

Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.

Risk analysis — what created these scores

Holder distributionn/a
  • · Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.
Liquidity86/100
  • · 24h volume was $413,946,786 against a $5,553,596,625 market cap (7.45% turnover).

Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.

AI research report

✓ Source data · 3 months ago · date of the newest whale event of its subject when the report was written, Jul 27, 2026, 06:13 PM — not necessarily the most recent of its sources

✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:43 PM · model claude-sonnet-5

✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read

Summary

The deterministic engine scored WETH 39/100, direction BEARISH, confidence MEDIUM. This score, direction and confidence are three separate computed outputs, not a single verdict. The dossier showed a wallet base that sold more than it bought over the tracked window, a week-over-week decline in transaction count, and a price that moved higher over 7 and 30 days while sitting at the top of its 30-day range. Confidence was capped at medium because only 4 of 11 applicable components carried any data at all.

Data and provenance

Whale activity, on-chain activity, technical indicators and macro conditions carried data; smart-money flows, token fundamentals, liquidity, news sentiment, social sentiment, institutional activity and ETF flows did not — seven of eleven components are stated gaps, not neutral readings. Holder structure was unavailable for this chain, so "structure score: not computable" stands as-is. No unlocks were found in tracked emissions data, which the dossier explicitly says is not proof none exist. No disclosed institutional exposure appeared in tracked 13F/N-PORT filings. No scored news items existed in the tracked feed for this asset in the last 72 hours. Price momentum came from 365 daily closes ending 2026-07-27. No citable links were supplied for this report.

On-chain analysis

Whale activity (40.8% weight) contributed -0.2: across 2,924 whale events among 15 wallets, observed buy pressure was $390.0M against sell-side $938.9M — net distribution. On-chain activity (20.4% weight) also contributed -0.2: 6,159 transactions in the last 7 days versus 10,721 the week before, a measured decline in activity. Technical indicators (30.6%) contributed +0.1, the lone positive input, but it is also flagged as the top risk to the read since price sat at 100% of its 30-day range. Confidence is most limited by the smart-money component, which had zero scored wallets active in the consensus window — the dossier is explicit that consensus cannot be claimed from a sample of zero.

Individual events: 0xdacc39450d67784a4648e4ce42f2789e3ba23b94 received $136.7M (five ~$27.3M transfers) at 16:57Z, $53.8M more at 16:15Z, and $105.4M at 15:48Z — large inbound clusters, not confirmed as accumulation versus internal transit. 0xbb2b8038a1640196fbe3e38816f3e67cba72d940 received $26.8M at 18:13Z and $13.5M at 16:03Z. 0xb8a451107a9f87fde481d4d686247d6e43ed715e sent $3.6M at 14:55Z.

Two disagreements were computed, not inferred. First: tracked wallet flow points down (net sold $548,822,015; bought $390,043,838, sold $938,865,853) while 30-day price points up (+24.0%). Second: the conviction score points down (39/100, bearish) while the same +24.0% 30-day price points up. Both could reflect distribution occurring into strength, or could reflect wallets rotating through a rising market without net directional conviction — the dossier does not resolve which.

Risks

Smart-money stance was labeled INSUFFICIENT with only 0 scored wallets meeting the minimum of 3 — no breadth claim is supportable. Holder concentration data was unavailable, so top-holder or exchange-custody share cannot be assessed here. Liquidity was flagged unavailable (volume or market cap missing), so exit capacity against position size cannot be evaluated. The technical reading itself is a counter-signal: 100% of the 30-day range is flagged as a risk to the bearish read, not a confirmation of it.

What would change this read

Watch whether the 15-wallet cohort's buy-side ($390.0M) closes the gap against sell-side ($938.9M) in a future window. Watch whether weekly transaction counts recover above the prior week's 10,721. Watch whether liquidity or holder-distribution data becomes trackable for this chain, which would change confidence independent of direction.

Limitations and missing data

Seven of eleven conviction components had no data: smart-money flows, token fundamentals, liquidity, news sentiment, social sentiment, institutional activity, and ETF flows. Holder structure, market cap, 24h volume and 24h price change were all unavailable. No scored news or social items existed in the tracked 72-hour window.

This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.

Whale activity (10 recent · 203793 observed transfers)

Observation

Recent whale events on WETH lean toward distribution — 2 distribution-side vs 0 accumulation-side.

Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.

  • DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $181.1M in WETH over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.6M in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $1.6M in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $9.9M in WETH across 6 similar transfers (~$1.7M each). 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $9.9M in WETH across 6 similar transfers (~$1.7M each). 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $1.8M in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $1.8M in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $1.9M in WETH over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xbdfa…026a Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address received $668K in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address
  • LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $2.4M in WETH. 0x4d5f…14e8 Tracked address