Token Research
XAUt
XAUt · ETHEREUM
0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38
62/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$4,013.18
Market cap
$2,459,369,468
24h volume
$138,814,894
24h change
-0.54%
AI Conviction - XAUt
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score44/100
BearishMedium confidenceData coverage: 6/11 components (63% of weight)Top reasons
- Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 42 in the last 7 days vs 122 the week before.
- Global (not token-specific): 28 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.62 on the lexicon.
- Price moved 0.6% over 7 days and -0.8% over 30 days, sitting at 27% of its 30-day range.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - 24h volume was $138,814,894 against a $2,459,369,468 market cap (5.64% turnover).
- Counter-signal - Across 11 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $61.5M vs $52.5M sell - net accumulation.
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: First conviction snapshot for this token - no prior baseline to compare.
Historical context: Not enough snapshot history yet - context builds as snapshots accumulate.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Token fundamentals: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-07-29 04:43 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-07-28 23:47 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 11 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $61.5M vs $52.5M sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 42 in the last 7 days vs 122 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 56.4% of supply (−56 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $138,814,894 against a $2,459,369,468 market cap (5.64% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved 0.6% over 7 days and -0.8% over 30 days, sitting at 27% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| Social sentiment |
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money Intelligence
Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.
53/100
neutral
50 baseline + 3 flow imbalance (net accumulation 8% of $114.0M) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.
Accumulation side · $61.5M
- smart-money accumulation $0K
- whale accumulation $55.4M
- exchange outflows $6.0M
- buy swaps $0K
Distribution side · $52.5M
- whale distribution $7.1M
- exchange inflows $45.4M
- sell swaps $0K
Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)
Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts
Accumulation continues · 37%
- market regime currently risk-on
Consolidation · 45%
- balanced observed flows
- no dominant pressure side
Distribution pressure · 18%
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
56.4%
Exchange custody
1.8%
Tracked smart wallets
0.0%
- 0x73f1…c32e13.65%
- 0x5754…b94913.41%
- 0x785f…ff765.76%
- 0xf9b3…80575.40%
- 0x742d…f44e4.43%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
Holder distribution44/100
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 56.4% of supply (−56 points).
- · 1.8% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
Liquidity80/100
- · 24h volume was $138,814,894 against a $2,459,369,468 market cap (5.64% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Deep research
Four passes instead of one: it plans what this dossier can and cannot answer, drafts the report, attacks its own draft for unsupported claims and generic sentences, then rewrites. It ends by stating what it could not determine and which datum was missing.
Whale activity (10 recent · 191 observed transfers)
Observation
Recent whale events on XAUt lean toward distribution — 6 distribution-side vs 3 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $27.2M in XAUt over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $17.0M in XAUt (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $10.2M in XAUt (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $24.9M in XAUt over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $3.4M in XAUt over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x21a3…5549
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $14.7M in XAUt (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC