WBTC
WBTC · ETHEREUM
0x2260fac5e5542a773aa44fbcfedf7c193bc2c599
50/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Market figures below were last observed 31d 7h ago — treat them as dated.
Price (USD)
$83,467
Market cap (USD)
$9,693,264,144
24h volume (USD)
$145,134,599
24h change
-0.00%
Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.
AI Conviction - WBTC
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Across 196 whale events (7 wallets), observed buy pressure was $199339.4M vs $123.8M sell - net accumulation.
- Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 447 in the last 7 days vs 1227 the week before.
- Price moved -4.6% over 7 days and -7.5% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range.
Top risks
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: Since 2026-10-30 05:52 UTC: direction moved Bullish → Neutral.
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-07-26, the score ranged 26-74 (average 56); the current 53 is in line with that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-31 04:50 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-10-31 02:00 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-30 12:17 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 196 whale events (7 wallets), observed buy pressure was $199339.4M vs $123.8M sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 447 in the last 7 days vs 1227 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 54.0% of supply (−54 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $145,134,599 against a $9,693,264,144 market cap (1.50% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -4.6% over 7 days and -7.5% over 30 days, sitting at 0% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 6.5% | Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money positioning — withheld
Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with WBTC already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
54.0%
Exchange custody
0.3%
Tracked smart wallets
Withheld — coverage not verified
- 0x5ee5…6de829.11%
- 0xa3a7…0eec6.37%
- 0xbbbb…ffcb4.98%
- 0xc3d6…cdc34.15%
- 0x3ee1…a5852.18%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 54.0% of supply (−54 points).
- · 0.3% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
- · 24h volume was $145,134,599 against a $9,693,264,144 market cap (1.50% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
✓ Source data · 3 months ago · date of the newest whale event of its subject when the report was written, Jul 27, 2026, 06:13 PM — not necessarily the most recent of its sources
✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:46 PM · model claude-sonnet-5
✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read
Summary
The deterministic engine scored WBTC at 27/100, direction BEARISH, confidence HIGH. This is a computed output, not an analytical conclusion drawn here. The dossier shows a token with a 0.26% 24h price change, a structure health score of 49/100, and heavy net distribution across tracked whale wallets over the last 7 days. Price momentum data, however, showed a positive 30-day move, creating two measured disagreements between price action and both wallet-flow and conviction-score readings. Coverage was partial: only 6 of 11 conviction components carried data (63.0% of applicable weight).
Data and provenance
Whale events (434 across 7 wallets), holder structure (top-10 non-exchange 53.7%, exchange custody 0.2%, tracked smart wallets 0.0%), liquidity ($97,262,750 24h volume vs $7,526,976,410 mcap), and price momentum (365 daily closes) all carried data. Token fundamentals and macro conditions also had data, though the latter was capped and only 58% quality. Smart-money flows, news sentiment, and social sentiment were stated gaps — 0 scored wallets, 0 scored news items, 0 scored social items, each below the engine's minimum thresholds. Institutional activity and ETF flows are not tracked for crypto in this engine version. Disclosed institutional exposure: none found in tracked 13F/N-PORT filings — stated as absent from filings, not absent from the asset. Upcoming unlocks: none scheduled in tracked emissions data, which the dossier explicitly notes is not proof none exist. Scored news: nothing in the tracked feed mentioned this asset recently.
On-chain analysis
The score was carried primarily by whale activity (32.3% weight, -0.3 contribution) and on-chain activity (16.1% weight, -0.2 contribution). The whale component reflected $27.6M in observed buy pressure against $2,082.3M in sell pressure across 434 events. The on-chain component reflected a week-over-week transaction drop, 586 in the last 7 days versus 1,517 the week before. Technical indicators (24.2% weight) carried the lowest quality score (0.43) and most limits confidence. Flows: wallet 0x547b5ad9f71ac50efd8755bc144767ac1768fc3d showed repeated same-transaction pass-throughs of $347.0M (net $0, transit not accumulation) on 2026-07-27 at 05:53Z, 06:18Z, and 06:44Z, alongside a net $333,641,704 distribution over 7 days. Wallet 0xbb2b8038a1640196fbe3e38816f3e67cba72d940 received $26,488,847 (18:13Z) and $13,393,516 (16:03Z), and sent $39,402,854 (12:44Z) — inflows and an outflow of similar magnitude on the same day. Top-10 non-exchange holders at 53.7% and exchange custody at just 0.2% suggest concentrated non-exchange wallets, not exchanges, hold the ability to move price; tracked smart wallets held 0.0%. Turnover of 1.29% (24h volume against mcap) is the measured liquidity backdrop for any large exit. Per the measured disagreements: wallet flow pointed down (bought $27,604,775, sold $2,108,142,796) while price over 30 days pointed up (+8.1%); separately, the conviction score (27/100, bearish) diverged from the same +8.1% 30-day price move. Both could reflect distribution occurring into a price that had not yet reflected it, or price drivers not captured by the tracked wallet sample — the dossier does not resolve which.
Risks
Top-10 non-exchange concentration stood at 53.7% (−54 points to the structure score). Exchange custody was low at 0.2%. No unlock schedule was found in tracked data, though absence of a schedule is not proof of no dilution risk. Liquidity turnover was 1.29% ($97,262,750 / $7,526,976,410). Smart-money and news/social sentiment layers were empty — stated gaps, not neutral readings.
What would change this read
Observable measurements to watch: whether buy-side vs sell-side whale volume narrows from the $27.6M-vs-$2,082.3M split; whether weekly transaction counts recover toward the prior week's 1,517; whether scored wallet participation rises above the 3-wallet minimum needed for a smart-money reading.
Limitations and missing data
Missing: smart-money flows (0 scored wallets), news sentiment (0 items), social sentiment (0 items), institutional activity and ETF flows (untracked for crypto in V1). No chains beyond Ethereum were covered in this dossier. Confidence in the technical-indicators component was limited by 0.43 quality.
This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.
Whale activity (10 recent · 11726 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on WBTC lean toward distribution — 4 distribution-side vs 1 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $1.6M in WBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xbb2b…d940 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $583K in WBTC. 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $8.8M in WBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $7.2M in WBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $4.9M in WBTC. 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $520K in WBTC. 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $5.9M in WBTC over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xbdfa…026a Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $5.4M in WBTC. 0xbdfa…026a Tracked address
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $2.8M in WBTC. 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $6.8M in WBTC (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody