RPL

RPL · ETHEREUM

0xd33526068d116ce69f19a9ee46f0bd304f21a51f

55/100

Structure health · explainable below

The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Price (USD)

$1.57

Market cap

$35,478,253

24h volume

$1,760,274

24h change

-2.29%

AI Conviction - RPL

V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score

45/100

BearishLow confidenceData coverage: 6/11 components (63% of weight)

Top reasons

Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 32 in the last 7 days vs 148 the week before.
Global (not token-specific): 28 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.62 on the lexicon.
Top 10 non-exchange holders held 69.2% of supply (−69 points).

Top risks

Counter-signal - Across 4 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $2.0M vs $1.3M sell - net accumulation.
Counter-signal - 24h volume was $1,760,274 against a $35,478,253 market cap (4.96% turnover).
Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.

What changed: Since 2026-07-27 17:32 UTC: direction moved Neutral → Bearish; score fell 51 → 45; confidence medium → low.

Historical context: Not enough snapshot history yet - context builds as snapshots accumulate.

Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Token fundamentals: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-07-28 23:47 UTC

Components & methodology

Component	Weight	Observed
Whale activity	32.3%	Across 4 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $2.0M vs $1.3M sell - net accumulation.
- Smart money flows	-	Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3).
On-chain activity	16.1%	Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 32 in the last 7 days vs 148 the week before.
Token fundamentals	9.7%	Top 10 non-exchange holders held 69.2% of supply (−69 points).
Liquidity	11.3%	24h volume was $1,760,274 against a $35,478,253 market cap (4.96% turnover).
Technical indicators	24.2%	Price moved -6.9% over 7 days and 23.7% over 30 days, sitting at 40% of its 30-day range.
- News sentiment	-	Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2).
Social sentiment

AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Smart Money Intelligence

Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.

59/100

accumulation

50 baseline + 9 flow imbalance (net accumulation 22% of $3.2M) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.

Accumulation side · $2.0M

smart-money accumulation $0K
whale accumulation $0K
exchange outflows $2.0M
buy swaps $0K

Distribution side · $1.3M

whale distribution $0K
exchange inflows $1.3M
sell swaps $0K

Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)

Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.

Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts

Accumulation continues · 40%

net exchange outflows (supply leaving venues)
market regime currently risk-on

Consolidation · 45%

balanced observed flows
no dominant pressure side

Distribution pressure ·

Holder analytics

Top 10 (non-exchange)

69.2%

Exchange custody

4.9%

Tracked smart wallets

0.0%

0x3bdc…69d647.45%
0x5775…78065.50%
0xf977…acecEXCHANGE4.48%
0x07a9…daaa3.24%
0xd335…a51f3.11%

Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.

Risk analysis — what created these scores

Holder distribution31/100

· Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
· Top 10 non-exchange holders held 69.2% of supply (−69 points).
· 4.9% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.

Liquidity78/100

· 24h volume was $1,760,274 against a $35,478,253 market cap (4.96% turnover).

Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.

AI research report

No report has been generated for this token.

Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.

Deep research

Four passes instead of one: it plans what this dossier can and cannot answer, drafts the report, attacks its own draft for unsupported claims and generic sentences, then rewrites. It ends by stating what it could not determine and which datum was missing.

Whale activity (4 recent · 194 observed transfers)

Observation

Recent whale events on RPL are split between accumulation and distribution.

Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.

EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $534K in RPL (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $917K in RPL (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $721K in RPL (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $1.0M in RPL (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC

Professional lenses (5) — rule-based analysis from the data above

Institutional Fund confidence LOW
What would a hedge fund analyst likely examine here?
A fund analyst would typically note the net accumulation and examine whether the flow is broad (many wallets) or concentrated (one actor), before treating it as a positioning signal.
Data: observed 30d flows: $2.0M accumulation-side vs $1.3M distribution-side · 0 scored wallets active in 7d
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Whale Investor confidence LOW
What would a large holder likely watch?
A large holder would typically watch the net exchange outflows — supply moving to self-custody historically accompanies holding behavior.
Data: exchange outflows $2.0M vs inflows $1.3M (30d)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Swing Trader confidence LOW
What would a technical trader likely track?
A swing trader would typically track whether the current accumulation side persists across sessions, using the flow imbalance as context rather than a signal by itself.
Data: observed 30d flows: $2.0M accumulation-side vs $1.3M distribution-side
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Risk Manager confidence LOW
How would a professional frame the risk?
A risk manager would typically size any exposure against the observed concentration: flows driven by few wallets reverse faster than broad-based moves, and venue-side supply adds liquidity risk.
Data: 0 scored wallets in the 7d sample · venue-side supply $1.3M (30d inflows)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Long-Term Investor confidence LOW
What would a long-horizon allocator likely note?
A long-horizon allocator would typically note that observed professional positioning leans toward accumulation, while weighing it against fundamentals this dashboard does not measure.
Data: Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.