PAXG
PAXG · ETHEREUM
0x45804880de22913dafe09f4980848ece6ecbaf78
78/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Market figures below were last observed 21d 17h ago — treat them as dated.
Price (USD)
$4,176.04
Market cap (USD)
$1,835,012,360
24h volume (USD)
$150,656,695
24h change
0.76%
Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.
AI Conviction - PAXG
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 146 in the last 7 days vs 411 the week before.
- Price moved -2.8% over 7 days and -3.1% over 30 days, sitting at 6% of its 30-day range.
- Across 56 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $55.8M vs $65.9M sell - net distribution.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - 24h volume was $150,656,695 against a $1,835,012,360 market cap (8.21% turnover).
- Counter-signal - Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.9% of supply (−32 points).
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: No material change since 2026-10-30 06:12 UTC (score 45 → 43).
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-08-31, the score ranged 39-67 (average 47); the current 43 is below that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-30 21:33 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-30 04:41 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-10-29 18:00 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 56 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $55.8M vs $65.9M sell - net distribution. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 146 in the last 7 days vs 411 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.9% of supply (−32 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $150,656,695 against a $1,835,012,360 market cap (8.21% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -2.8% over 7 days and -3.1% over 30 days, sitting at 6% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 6.5% | Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money positioning — withheld
Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with PAXG already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
31.9%
Exchange custody
4.8%
Tracked smart wallets
Withheld — coverage not verified
- 0x5a52…efcb18.56%
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE3.97%
- 0xd2dd…869f2.77%
- 0x7d76…107d2.56%
- 0x3eba…bf231.37%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.9% of supply (−32 points).
- · 4.8% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
- · 24h volume was $150,656,695 against a $1,835,012,360 market cap (8.21% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Whale activity (10 recent · 2454 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on PAXG lean toward distribution — 6 distribution-side vs 4 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $646K in PAXG (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $1.0M in PAXG over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $1.0M in PAXG (outflow from exchange reserves). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $1.1M in PAXG over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x28C6…1d60 Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $1.1M in PAXG (outflow from exchange reserves). 0x28C6…1d60 Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $896K in PAXG (inflow to exchange reserves). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $674K in PAXG (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $4.3M in PAXG (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $4.3M in PAXG over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $706K in PAXG (inflow to exchange reserves). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody