Token Research
PAXG
PAXG · ETHEREUM
0x45804880de22913dafe09f4980848ece6ecbaf78
73/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$4,016.96
Market cap
$1,788,356,477
24h volume
$90,254,306
24h change
-0.52%
AI Conviction - PAXG
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the score57/100
BullishMedium confidenceData coverage: 6/11 components (63% of weight)Top reasons
- Across 1 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $684K vs $0K sell - net accumulation.
- 24h volume was $90,254,306 against a $1,788,356,477 market cap (5.05% turnover).
- Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.6% of supply (−32 points).
Top risks
- Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 14 in the last 7 days vs 47 the week before.
- Counter-signal - Global (not token-specific): 28 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.62 on the lexicon.
- Counter-signal - Price moved 0.4% over 7 days and -1.3% over 30 days, sitting at 21% of its 30-day range.
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
- Available signals disagreed strongly with each other - a split read, not a consensus.
What changed: First conviction snapshot for this token - no prior baseline to compare.
Historical context: Not enough snapshot history yet - context builds as snapshots accumulate.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Token fundamentals: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Liquidity: 2026-07-29 04:44 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-07-28 23:47 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 1 whale events (1 wallets), observed buy pressure was $684K vs $0K sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 14 in the last 7 days vs 47 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.6% of supply (−32 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $90,254,306 against a $1,788,356,477 market cap (5.05% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved 0.4% over 7 days and -1.3% over 30 days, sitting at 21% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| Social sentiment |
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money Intelligence
Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.
90/100
accumulation
50 baseline + 40 flow imbalance (net accumulation 100% of $684K) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.
Accumulation side · $684K
- smart-money accumulation $0K
- whale accumulation $0K
- exchange outflows $684K
- buy swaps $0K
Distribution side · $0K
- whale distribution $0K
- exchange inflows $0K
- sell swaps $0K
Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)
Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts
Accumulation continues · 60%
- net exchange outflows (supply leaving venues)
- market regime currently risk-on
Consolidation · 35%
- balanced observed flows
- no dominant pressure side
Distribution pressure ·
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
31.6%
Exchange custody
3.6%
Tracked smart wallets
0.0%
- 0x5a52…efcb18.20%
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE2.99%
- 0xd2dd…869f2.69%
- 0x7d76…107d2.51%
- 0x6bb0…14021.33%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
Holder distribution68/100
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 31.6% of supply (−32 points).
- · 3.6% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
Liquidity78/100
- · 24h volume was $90,254,306 against a $1,788,356,477 market cap (5.05% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Deep research
Four passes instead of one: it plans what this dossier can and cannot answer, drafts the report, attacks its own draft for unsupported claims and generic sentences, then rewrites. It ends by stating what it could not determine and which datum was missing.
Whale activity (1 recent · 81 observed transfers)
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $684K in PAXG (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d