LINK
LINK · ETHEREUM
0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca
85/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$12.76
Market cap
$9,542,443,549
24h volume
$677,814,500
24h change
-3.71%
AI Conviction - LINK
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 808 in the last 7 days vs 1390 the week before.
- 24h volume was $677,814,500 against a $9,542,443,549 market cap (7.10% turnover).
- Across 28 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $69.9M vs $78.1M sell - net distribution.
Top risks
- Data coverage gaps (6 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: Since 2026-09-07 23:51 UTC: direction moved Bullish → Neutral; score fell 71 → 46.
Historical context: Across 16 snapshots since 2026-07-23, the score ranged 38-71 (average 53); the current 46 is below that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-09-15 18:33 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-09-15 18:00 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-09-15 16:53 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-09-14 10:10 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 35.7% | Across 28 whale events (4 wallets), observed buy pressure was $69.9M vs $78.1M sell - net distribution. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 17.9% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 808 in the last 7 days vs 1390 the week before. |
| - Token fundamentals | - | Holder distribution data unavailable for this chain/token. |
| Liquidity | 12.5% | 24h volume was $677,814,500 against a $9,542,443,549 market cap (7.10% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 26.8% | Price moved -11.2% over 7 days and 19.6% over 30 days, sitting at 50% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 7.1% | Global (not token-specific): 17 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.16 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (57% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money Intelligence
Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.
48/100
neutral
50 baseline − 2 flow imbalance (net distribution 6% of $148.1M) − 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.
Accumulation side · $69.9M
- smart-money accumulation $0K
- whale accumulation $29.6M
- exchange outflows $40.3M
- buy swaps $0K
Distribution side · $78.1M
- whale distribution $36.7M
- exchange inflows $41.4M
- sell swaps $0K
Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)
Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts
Accumulation continues · 34%
- market regime currently risk-on
Consolidation · 45%
- balanced observed flows
- no dominant pressure side
Distribution pressure · 21%
- whale distribution observed ($36.7M/30d)
- net exchange inflows (supply moving to venues)
Professional lenses (5) — rule-based analysis from the data above
Institutional Fund confidence low
What would a hedge fund analyst likely examine here?
A fund analyst would typically read balanced flows as absence of a positioning edge and wait for a dominant side.
Data: observed 30d flows: $69.9M accumulation-side vs $78.1M distribution-side · 0 scored wallets active in 7d
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Whale Investor confidence low
What would a large holder likely watch?
A large holder would typically watch the exchange inflows as a sign that peers are staging liquidity venue-side.
Data: exchange outflows $40.3M vs inflows $41.4M (30d)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Swing Trader confidence low
What would a technical trader likely track?
A swing trader would typically track whether the current distribution side persists across sessions, using the flow imbalance as context rather than a signal by itself.
Data: observed 30d flows: $69.9M accumulation-side vs $78.1M distribution-side
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Risk Manager confidence low
How would a professional frame the risk?
A risk manager would typically size any exposure against the observed concentration: flows driven by few wallets reverse faster than broad-based moves, and venue-side supply adds liquidity risk.
Data: 0 scored wallets in the 7d sample · venue-side supply $41.4M (30d inflows)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Long-Term Investor confidence low
What would a long-horizon allocator likely note?
A long-horizon allocator would typically treat current flows as noise at their horizon and focus on fundamentals this dashboard does not measure.
Data: Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Educational description of observed on-chain positioning (28 events · 4 wallets). Not financial advice, not a prediction, and never a buy or sell recommendation.
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Holder analytics
Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Holder data unavailable for this chain/token.
- · 24h volume was $677,814,500 against a $9,542,443,549 market cap (7.10% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
No report has been generated for this token.
Research reports are written on request — nothing is generated in the background, so none is on its way. Generating one reads this token's current data and costs 18 credits from your plan. The result is checked against its own sources before it is shown, and is yours to read as often as you like.
Whale activity (10 recent · 3191 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on LINK lean toward distribution — 6 distribution-side vs 4 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $4.2M in LINK over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xDFd5…963d
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $3.3M in LINK (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Wallet sent $23.0M in LINK (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $23.0M in LINK over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $2.3M in LINK (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $2.0M in LINK over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x21a3…5549
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $2.5M in LINK over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x28C6…1d60
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $939K in LINK (inflow to exchange reserves). 0x28C6…1d60
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Wallet received $873K in LINK (inflow to exchange reserves). 0x28C6…1d60
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $6.9M in LINK over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x28C6…1d60