USDT
USDT · ETHEREUM
0xdac17f958d2ee523a2206206994597c13d831ec7
86/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Price (USD)
$0.999966
Market cap
$183,386,135,359
24h volume
$43,764,700,063
24h change
-0.01%
AI Conviction - USDT
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- Across 3702 whale events (31 wallets), observed buy pressure was $16293.3M vs $6033.8M sell - net accumulation.
- 24h volume was $43,764,700,063 against a $183,386,135,359 market cap (23.86% turnover).
- Global (not token-specific): 18 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.20 on the lexicon.
Top risks
- Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 128105 in the last 7 days vs 177809 the week before.
- Data coverage gaps (5 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: Since 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC: data lost: News sentiment.
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-07-25, the score ranged 38-69 (average 58); the current 59 is in line with that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-09-15 18:35 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-09-15 18:00 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-09-15 16:53 UTC · Technical indicators: 2026-09-15 12:00 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 32.3% | Across 3702 whale events (31 wallets), observed buy pressure was $16293.3M vs $6033.8M sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 16.1% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 128105 in the last 7 days vs 177809 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 9.7% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 29.1% of supply (−29 points). |
| Liquidity | 11.3% | 24h volume was $43,764,700,063 against a $183,386,135,359 market cap (23.86% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 24.2% | Price moved -0.0% over 7 days and 0.1% over 30 days, sitting at 51% of its 30-day range. |
| - News sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (1, minimum 2). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 6.5% | Global (not token-specific): 18 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged 0.20 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (63% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money Intelligence
Observed positioning of scored wallets over 30 days — computed from real whale events, rule-based, never a prediction.
68/100
accumulation
50 baseline + 18 flow imbalance (net accumulation 46% of $22327.2M) + 0 breadth (0 scored wallets). Measures observed positioning, not investment quality.
Accumulation side · $16293.3M
- smart-money accumulation $0K
- whale accumulation $10829.7M
- exchange outflows $5463.6M
- buy swaps $0K
Distribution side · $6033.8M
- whale distribution $2809.3M
- exchange inflows $3224.5M
- sell swaps $0K
Smart money consensus (7d · 0 scored wallets)
Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
Scenario weights — derived from current observed signals, not forecasts
Accumulation continues · 46%
- net exchange outflows (supply leaving venues)
- market regime currently risk-on
Consolidation · 45%
- balanced observed flows
- no dominant pressure side
Distribution pressure · 9%
- whale distribution observed ($2809.3M/30d)
Professional lenses (5) — rule-based analysis from the data above
Institutional Fund confidence low
What would a hedge fund analyst likely examine here?
A fund analyst would typically note the net accumulation and examine whether the flow is broad (many wallets) or concentrated (one actor), before treating it as a positioning signal.
Data: observed 30d flows: $16293.3M accumulation-side vs $6033.8M distribution-side · 0 scored wallets active in 7d
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Whale Investor confidence low
What would a large holder likely watch?
A large holder would typically watch the net exchange outflows — supply moving to self-custody historically accompanies holding behavior.
Data: exchange outflows $5463.6M vs inflows $3224.5M (30d)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Swing Trader confidence low
What would a technical trader likely track?
A swing trader would typically track whether the current accumulation side persists across sessions, using the flow imbalance as context rather than a signal by itself.
Data: observed 30d flows: $16293.3M accumulation-side vs $6033.8M distribution-side
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Risk Manager confidence low
How would a professional frame the risk?
A risk manager would typically size any exposure against the observed concentration: flows driven by few wallets reverse faster than broad-based moves, and venue-side supply adds liquidity risk.
Data: 0 scored wallets in the 7d sample · venue-side supply $3224.5M (30d inflows)
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Long-Term Investor confidence low
What would a long-horizon allocator likely note?
A long-horizon allocator would typically note that observed professional positioning leans toward accumulation, while weighing it against fundamentals this dashboard does not measure.
Data: Insufficient scored-wallet data — no scored wallet was active on this asset in the last 7 days, so no consensus can be claimed.
On-chain flows describe PAST positioning of a small observed universe; they do not determine prices. Data can be incomplete or delayed.
Educational description of observed on-chain positioning (3702 events · 31 wallets). Not financial advice, not a prediction, and never a buy or sell recommendation.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with USDT already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
29.1%
Exchange custody
20.3%
Tracked smart wallets
0.0%
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE19.25%
- 0x47ac…d50310.40%
- 0x8356…00076.23%
- 0x6c96…1dee3.60%
- 0x5a52…efcb2.78%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 29.1% of supply (−29 points).
- · 20.3% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
- · 24h volume was $43,764,700,063 against a $183,386,135,359 market cap (23.86% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
✓ Source data · 2 months ago · newest datum Jul 27, 2026, 07:49 PM
✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:43 PM · model claude-sonnet-5
✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read
USDT on Ethereum — Research Report
Summary
The deterministic engine (v1-deterministic-2026-07) scored this asset 38/100, direction BEARISH, confidence MEDIUM. This is a separately computed output, not a conclusion this report endorses. The dossier showed a stablecoin whose price sat essentially flat (7d -0.0%, 30d 0.0%), while measured whale flows recorded $4,267.8M in observed buy-side activity against $3,829.8M in sell-side activity across 40 wallets, and weekly transaction counts fell from 44,183 to 16,881. Price, market cap, 24h volume and holder distribution were all unavailable for this chain, which capped the components the engine could evaluate to 5 of 11 (56.0% of applicable weight).
Data and provenance
Of the conviction engine's 11 components, five carried data: whale activity, on-chain activity, technical indicators, news sentiment, and macro conditions. Six were stated gaps: smartmoneyflows (0 scored wallets, minimum 3 required), tokenfundamentals (holder distribution unavailable for this chain), liquidity (volume/market cap unavailable), socialsentiment (0 scored items, minimum 3), institutionalactivity and etfflows (not tracked for crypto in V1). Ten whale-labeled events were listed, the newest at 2026-07-27 19:49Z. No unlock schedule was found in tracked emissions data — stated as absent from tracking, not proof none exists. No disclosed institutional exposure appeared in tracked 13F/N-PORT filings. Five news items scored, two negative: Cointelegraph — Garden Finance disables app as Blockaid reports $450,000 exploit and Decrypt — Jack Mallers Quits Twenty One Capital as Tether's Bitcoin Merger Collapses.
On-chain analysis
Whale activity (36.4% weight) contributed +0.0 despite net observed accumulation ($4,267.8M buy vs $3,829.8M sell), because the engine flagged this as a counter-signal to the bearish score — a documented tension inside the model itself. On-chain activity (18.2% weight) contributed -0.2, the largest negative pull, driven by the transaction count drop from 44,183 to 16,881 week-over-week. The component most limiting confidence was liquidity — entirely absent, since volume and market cap were unavailable.
On the flow side: wallet 0x5aae4d2f360e156de3416936049837a7bb685588 showed a distribution pattern, a $5.1M net 7-day outflow, alongside receiving $4.1M and $3.9M in separate transfers and an earlier $8.8M in two ~$4.4M chunks — mixed receipt and outflow suggesting transit through this address rather than pure accumulation. Wallet 0x8fca4ade3a517133ff23ca55cdaea29c78c990b8 showed an accumulation pattern with $3.3M net 7-day inflow, receiving $3.4M at 13:45Z from 0x08848b5c2e80488fa9d6df900d4603f2356a02e0, while 0x4b88215dceaf76da260c7ef3ba6d5b6663681396 sent an identical $3.4M at the same timestamp — a same-size, same-time chain consistent with routed transfer.
Per MEASURED DISAGREEMENTS: none were flagged. Every layer with a reading pointed the same direction or sat inside a flat band — price flat, on-chain activity declining, sentiment negative — and the report should not manufacture tension where the data showed agreement.
Risks
Holder distribution was unavailable, so concentration cannot be assessed from this dossier. Liquidity (volume, market cap) was unavailable, so nothing can be said about ease of exit. On-chain transaction counts fell by more than half week-over-week (44,183 → 16,881), a measured activity decline. Smart-money positioning carried a stance of INSUFFICIENT with only 0 scored wallets in the consensus window — any directional reading from that sample would be unsupported.
What would change this read
Restoration of price/market cap/volume data would populate the liquidity component. A rebound in weekly transaction counts above the prior 44,183 baseline would shift the on-chain activity reading. Presence of 3 or more scored wallets in a consensus window would make smart-money positioning claimable rather than insufficient.
Limitations and missing data
This report could not establish holder concentration, market cap, 24h volume, or 24h price change for this chain. Smart-money consensus and social sentiment lacked the minimum data thresholds (3 wallets/items). Institutional and ETF flow tracking do not cover crypto tokens in this engine version.
This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.
Whale activity (10 recent · 404998 observed transfers)
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $10.2M in USDT over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $1.3M in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $1.4M in USDT across 2 similar transfers (~$700K each). 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $981K in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $772K in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $707K in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $531K in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $724K in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $1.5M in USDT. 0x9696…6976
- LARGE TRANSFER — Wallet sent $540K in USDT. 0x9696…6976