USDT
USDT · ETHEREUM
0xdac17f958d2ee523a2206206994597c13d831ec7
85/100
Structure health · explainable below
The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Market figures below were last observed 21d 14h ago — treat them as dated.
Price (USD)
$0.999284
Market cap (USD)
$184,112,501,019
24h volume (USD)
$76,315,963,493
24h change
-0.02%
Market figures above: CoinGecko (USD). CoinGecko's own update time is not stored for this token, so the time shown is when we retrieved them.
AI Conviction - USDT
V1 deterministic - no AI model in the scoreTop reasons
- 24h volume was $76,315,963,493 against a $184,112,501,019 market cap (41.45% turnover).
- Across 5819 whale events (20 wallets), observed buy pressure was $31067.8M vs $17146.9M sell - net accumulation.
- Top 10 non-exchange holders held 29.7% of supply (−30 points).
Top risks
- Counter-signal - Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 82980 in the last 7 days vs 109942 the week before.
- Data coverage gaps (4 of 11 components unavailable) - missing data lowers confidence, it is never guessed.
What changed: No material change since 2026-10-30 09:49 UTC (score 54 → 55).
Historical context: Across 30 snapshots since 2026-09-07, the score ranged 46-65 (average 57); the current 55 is in line with that average.
Source freshness - Whale activity: 2026-10-30 21:32 UTC · News sentiment: 2026-10-30 19:55 UTC · Macro conditions: 2026-10-30 16:52 UTC · On-chain activity: 2026-10-30 13:00 UTC
Components & methodology
| Component | Weight | Observed |
|---|---|---|
| Whale activity | 29.4% | Across 5819 whale events (20 wallets), observed buy pressure was $31067.8M vs $17146.9M sell - net accumulation. |
| - Smart money flows | - | Only 0 scored wallets were active in the consensus window (minimum 3). |
| On-chain activity | 14.7% | Observed transactions fell week-over-week: 82980 in the last 7 days vs 109942 the week before. |
| Token fundamentals | 8.8% | Top 10 non-exchange holders held 29.7% of supply (−30 points). |
| Liquidity | 10.3% | 24h volume was $76,315,963,493 against a $184,112,501,019 market cap (41.45% turnover). |
| Technical indicators | 22.1% | Price moved 0.0% over 7 days and -0.1% over 30 days, sitting at 39% of its 30-day range. |
| News sentiment | 8.8% | 3 news items mentioning USDT in 72h scored negative on the lexicon (-0.11). |
| - Social sentiment | - | Too few scored items in 72h (0, minimum 3). |
| Macro conditions | 5.9% | Global (not token-specific): 8 economy/regulatory items in 72h averaged -0.14 on the lexicon. |
| - Institutional activity | - | Institutional flows are not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
| - Insider activity | - | Insider activity does not apply to crypto tokens (weight 0 - excluded from coverage). |
| - ETF flows | - | ETF flow data is not tracked for crypto tokens in V1 (stocks & ETF phase). |
Deterministic weighted aggregation (engine v1-deterministic-2026-07). Each component is an observed measurement mapped to [-1, +1]; weights are renormalized over components that actually had data (missing data contributes nothing and is never estimated); sentiment sources (news/social/macro) are capped at 20% of the total signal; score = 50 + 45 x weighted mean, bounded to 2-98 so the scale can never express certainty. Confidence is computed separately from data coverage (69% of applicable weight had data) and data quality - a high score with thin data stays low-confidence. No AI model participates in this score.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations. The information on this page is market data and educational analysis, not financial advice. Past on-chain activity does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research.
Smart Money positioning — withheld
Verified coverage is not sufficient yet. Until we have validated which observed wallets count as Smart Money — and which are protocol or exchange contracts — BFYP shows no Smart Money positioning score, consensus or verdict, on any plan.
Ask BFYP about this
Open AI Research with USDT already in context. Nothing is sent and no credits are used until you ask.
Holder analytics
Top 10 (non-exchange)
29.7%
Exchange custody
19.8%
Tracked smart wallets
Withheld — coverage not verified
- 0xf977…acecEXCHANGE18.11%
- 0x47ac…d50310.40%
- 0x8356…00076.36%
- 0x5a52…efcb3.71%
- 0x6c96…1dee3.71%
Exchange custody wallets hold aggregated customer funds and are not treated as investment ownership.
Risk analysis — what created these scores
- · Based on the 50 largest holders on record.
- · Top 10 non-exchange holders held 29.7% of supply (−30 points).
- · 19.8% sat in exchange custody wallets — aggregated customer funds, excluded from concentration risk.
- · 24h volume was $76,315,963,493 against a $184,112,501,019 market cap (41.45% turnover).
Scores describe observed market structure only — they are not predictions, ratings of future performance, or financial advice.
AI research report
✓ Source data · 3 months ago · date of the newest whale event of its subject when the report was written, Jul 27, 2026, 07:49 PM — not necessarily the most recent of its sources
✓ Written Jul 27, 2026, 08:43 PM · model claude-sonnet-5
✓ Platform report — generated for everyone, free to read
USDT on Ethereum — Research Report
Summary
The deterministic engine (v1-deterministic-2026-07) scored this asset 38/100, direction BEARISH, confidence MEDIUM. This is a separately computed output, not a conclusion this report endorses. The dossier showed a stablecoin whose price sat essentially flat (7d -0.0%, 30d 0.0%), while measured whale flows recorded $4,267.8M in observed buy-side activity against $3,829.8M in sell-side activity across 40 wallets, and weekly transaction counts fell from 44,183 to 16,881. Price, market cap, 24h volume and holder distribution were all unavailable for this chain, which capped the components the engine could evaluate to 5 of 11 (56.0% of applicable weight).
Data and provenance
Of the conviction engine's 11 components, five carried data: whale activity, on-chain activity, technical indicators, news sentiment, and macro conditions. Six were stated gaps: smartmoneyflows (0 scored wallets, minimum 3 required), tokenfundamentals (holder distribution unavailable for this chain), liquidity (volume/market cap unavailable), socialsentiment (0 scored items, minimum 3), institutionalactivity and etfflows (not tracked for crypto in V1). Ten whale-labeled events were listed, the newest at 2026-07-27 19:49Z. No unlock schedule was found in tracked emissions data — stated as absent from tracking, not proof none exists. No disclosed institutional exposure appeared in tracked 13F/N-PORT filings. Five news items scored, two negative: Cointelegraph — Garden Finance disables app as Blockaid reports $450,000 exploit and Decrypt — Jack Mallers Quits Twenty One Capital as Tether's Bitcoin Merger Collapses.
On-chain analysis
Whale activity (36.4% weight) contributed +0.0 despite net observed accumulation ($4,267.8M buy vs $3,829.8M sell), because the engine flagged this as a counter-signal to the bearish score — a documented tension inside the model itself. On-chain activity (18.2% weight) contributed -0.2, the largest negative pull, driven by the transaction count drop from 44,183 to 16,881 week-over-week. The component most limiting confidence was liquidity — entirely absent, since volume and market cap were unavailable.
On the flow side: wallet 0x5aae4d2f360e156de3416936049837a7bb685588 showed a distribution pattern, a $5.1M net 7-day outflow, alongside receiving $4.1M and $3.9M in separate transfers and an earlier $8.8M in two ~$4.4M chunks — mixed receipt and outflow suggesting transit through this address rather than pure accumulation. Wallet 0x8fca4ade3a517133ff23ca55cdaea29c78c990b8 showed an accumulation pattern with $3.3M net 7-day inflow, receiving $3.4M at 13:45Z from 0x08848b5c2e80488fa9d6df900d4603f2356a02e0, while 0x4b88215dceaf76da260c7ef3ba6d5b6663681396 sent an identical $3.4M at the same timestamp — a same-size, same-time chain consistent with routed transfer.
Per MEASURED DISAGREEMENTS: none were flagged. Every layer with a reading pointed the same direction or sat inside a flat band — price flat, on-chain activity declining, sentiment negative — and the report should not manufacture tension where the data showed agreement.
Risks
Holder distribution was unavailable, so concentration cannot be assessed from this dossier. Liquidity (volume, market cap) was unavailable, so nothing can be said about ease of exit. On-chain transaction counts fell by more than half week-over-week (44,183 → 16,881), a measured activity decline. Smart-money positioning carried a stance of INSUFFICIENT with only 0 scored wallets in the consensus window — any directional reading from that sample would be unsupported.
What would change this read
Restoration of price/market cap/volume data would populate the liquidity component. A rebound in weekly transaction counts above the prior 44,183 baseline would shift the on-chain activity reading. Presence of 3 or more scored wallets in a consensus window would make smart-money positioning claimable rather than insufficient.
Limitations and missing data
This report could not establish holder concentration, market cap, 24h volume, or 24h price change for this chain. Smart-money consensus and social sentiment lacked the minimum data thresholds (3 wallets/items). Institutional and ETF flow tracking do not cover crypto tokens in this engine version.
This analysis is educational information, not financial advice.
AI-generated analyses are automated interpretations of public market data. They may contain errors, are provided for educational purposes only, and are not investment recommendations.
Whale activity (10 recent · 1356737 observed transfers)
Recent whale events on USDT lean toward distribution — 6 distribution-side vs 3 accumulation-side.
Computed from the on-chain data on this page — no AI model involved. Educational, not financial advice.
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $66.7M in USDT over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $5.1M in USDT over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- ACCUMULATION — Net inflow of $167.9M in USDT over the last 7 days (accumulation pattern observed). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody
- LARGE TRANSFER — Tracked address sent $2.4M in USDT. 0x5aae…5588 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $75.0M in USDT over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0x9696…6976 Tracked address
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Tracked address sent $66.7M in USDT (inflow to exchange reserves). 0x9696…6976 Tracked address
- DISTRIBUTION — Net outflow of $67.9M in USDT over the last 7 days (distribution pattern observed). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $626K in USDT (outflow from exchange reserves). 0xDFd5…963d Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE OUTFLOW — Exchange / custody address sent $53.5M in USDT (outflow from exchange reserves). 0x21a3…5549 Exchange / custody
- EXCHANGE INFLOW — Exchange / custody address received $53.5M in USDT (inflow to exchange reserves). 0xF977…aceC Exchange / custody